SIMPLIFACATIONS CONSUMPTION AND INVESTMENT SCHEDULES
- Represents investment plans of businesses in the same way consumption schedule represents consumption plans of households
EQUILIBRIUM GDP: C + Ig = GDP
Possible Levels of Employment | Real Domestic Output | Consumption | Savings | Investment | Expenditures | Unplanned Changes in Inventories | Tendency of E,O & I |
40 | $370 | $375 | $-5 | $20 | $395 | $-25 | Increase |
45 | 390 | 390 | 0 | 20 | 410 | -20 | Increase |
50 | 410 | 405 | 5 | 20 | 425 | -15 | Increase |
55 | 430 | 420 | 10 | 20 | 440 | -10 | Increase |
60 | 450 | 435 | 15 | 20 | 455 | -5 | Increase |
65 | 470 | 450 | 20 | 20 | 470 | 0 | Equilibrium |
70 | 490 | 465 | 25 | 20 | 485 | 5 | Decrease |
75 | 510 | 480 | 30 | 20 | 500 | 10 | Decrease |
80 | 530 | 495 | 35 | 20 | 515 | 15 | Decrease |
85 | 550 | 510 | 40 | 20 | 530 | 20 | Decrease |
Tabular Analysis
- Columns 2-5 repeat consumption and saving schedules and the investment schedule
Real Domestic Output
- Column2= possible output levels
ECT.
- Equilibrium=good
- Total number of good produced=total number of good purchased
- C+Ig
Disequilibrium
- Total number of good produced=total number of good purchased
- Not where it should be
- Below=economy wants to spend at higher levels
- To fix: Businesses adjust by stepping up production; greater output increases employment and total income
- To fix: Businesses adjust by stepping up production; greater output increases employment and total income
- Above: Total outputs don't generate needed spending to clear shelves of goods; causing bussinesses to cut back production
- To fix: Businesses adjust by cutting back on rate of production
- Lower output=fewer jobs and decline in total income
Graphical Analysis
- 45˚
- Any point=value measured on X=value of what is being measured on Y (x=y)?
- Graphical statement of equilibrium condition
OTHER FEATURES OF EQILIBRIUM GDP
- Any point=value measured on X=value of what is being measured on Y (x=y)?
- 2 more characteristics of GDP:
- Saving and planned investments are equal
- No unplanned changes in inventories
Saving Equals Planned Investment
- Saving and planned investments are equal
- Saving=Leakage or withdrawal from spending
- Causes consumption to be less than total output or GDP
- Investment is an injection of spending into the income-expenditures stream
- If leakage of saving (LAS) exceeds the injection of investment then C+Ig will be less than GDP (cannot be sustained)
- If Injection of investment (IOI) exceeds leakage of saving then C+Ig will be greater than GDP (drives GDP up)
No Unplanned Changes In Inventories
- No unplanned changes in inventories at equilibrium
- Unplanned changes in inventories act as balancing item the equates the actual amounts saved and invested
CHNAGES IN EQUILIBRIUM GDP AND THE MULITPLIER
- Change in response to changes in either the investment schedule or the consumption schedule
- Expected rate of return on investment rises or the real interest rate falls=upward shift of investment schedule
- ^opposite=downward shift
ADDING INTERNATIONAL TRADE
- OPEN ECONOMY!
- X=exports
- M=imports
Net Exports and Aggregate Expenditures
- Exports=Domestic production, income, and employment for a nation
- Included in AE because increase production and creates jobs and income
- Open Economy= C+Ig+(X-M)
The Net Export Schedule
- Lists amount of net exports that will occur at each level of GDP
Net Exports and Equilibrium GDP
- In open economy next exports can be positive or negative
Positive Net Exports
- Net export schedule= Xn1
- C+Ig+Xn1
- Other things equal positive exports increase aggregate expenditures and GDP beyond that of closed economy
- Exports= lower stock available and boosts real GDP (by increasing expenditures on domestically produced output
Negative Net Exports
- Negative = Xn2
- C+Ig+Xn2
- Other things equal negative exports reduce AE and GDP (Imports add to stock of goods, but diminish GDP by reducing expenditures on domestically produced products)
International Economic Linkages
Prosperity Abroad
- Rising level of real output and income among US trading partners allows US to sell more good abroad, raising net exports
- They do good and they buy form us, we get more money and buy from them
- Prosperity abroad=prosperity here
Tariffs
- When a foreign economy raises tariffs on imports they increase production in their economies, stimulating it; this reduces US exports and depresses our economy
Exchange Rate
- Depreciation of dollar
- enables people abroad to get more dollars in exchange for their own currency
- Price of US goods in terms of that currency to fall stimulating increase in purchase of US exports
- US citizens will find that they need more dollars to buy foreign goods and reduce spending on imports
- INCREASES NET EXPORTS & GDP
ADDING THE PUBLIC SECTOR
- enables people abroad to get more dollars in exchange for their own currency
- Public open economy
- Adding taxes and government purchases
- Adding taxes and government purchases
- Gov purchases do not cause any movement in schedules
- Net tax revenues come from person taxes
- Fixed amount of taxes is collected regardless of GDP
Government Purchases and Equilibrium GDP
- Increase in public spending shift the AE upward and produce higher equilibrium GDP
- C+Ig+Xn+G
Taxation and Equilibrium GDP
- Lump-sum tax=tax of a constant amount or a tax yielding the same amount of tax revenue at each level of GDP
- Taxes reduce disposable income relative to GDP by the amount of taxes
- Decline in DI reduces consumption and saving at each level of GDP
- Tax increases lower the AE schedule relative to the 45˚ line and reduce the equilibrium GDP
- Decreases in existing taxes will raise the AE schedule
- Ca+Ig+Xn+G=GDP
Injections, Leakages, and Unplanned Changes in Inventories
- Imports and taxes are added leakages
- Saving importing, and paying taxes=uses for income that subtract from potential consumption (PC)
- Consumption is will be less than GDP (creating potential spending (PS) gap) in amount of after tax saving(S), imports(M), and taxes(T)
- Exports(X), gov. purchases(G), and investments(Ig) are injections into the income expenditures stream
- Sa+M+T=Ig+X+G
- Consumption is will be less than GDP (creating potential spending (PS) gap) in amount of after tax saving(S), imports(M), and taxes(T)
- Because AE=GDP: all goods and services produced will be purchased
EQUILIBRIUM VERSUS FULL-EMPLUYMENT GDP
- The economy doesn't always need to produce full employment and price level stability
Recessionary Gap
- Recessionary gap (RG) in the amount by which AE at the full employment GDP fall short of those required to meet full employment GDP
- Graphically the RG is the vertical distance by which the actual AE schedule lies below the hypothetical AE schedule
LIMITATION OF THE MODEL
- Does not show price-level changes:
- Can account for demand-pull inflation, but does not include how much the price level will rise when AE are excessive
- Does not measure inflation
- Can account for demand-pull inflation, but does not include how much the price level will rise when AE are excessive
- Ignores premature demand-pull inflation
- Does not explain why mild d-p can occur
- Does not explain why mild d-p can occur
- Limits real GDP to the full-employment level of output
- Economy can actually expand beyond full-employment real GDP, AE model does not show this
- Economy can actually expand beyond full-employment real GDP, AE model does not show this
- Does not deal with cost-push inflation
- AE does not address
- AE does not address
- Does not allot for "self-correction"
- AE does not contain features that may correct RG
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